Europa League Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 1-2
Ajax vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 2
AJA
23%
21%
56%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 0
RJC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 2
NEC
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 2
GEN
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 1
JUV
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 1
LAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
INT
2 - 1
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 2
ROM
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |