Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 7-1
Ajax vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 4
AJA
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
AJA
12%
17%
71%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 1
PAN
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
AJA
21%
21%
58%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GKS
3 - 1
JAG
41%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 4
AJA
20%
20%
60%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 4
CRA
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 1
JAG
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
BOG
31%
23%
46%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |