Ajax vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 0
WIL
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
LYO
0 - 2
AJA
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
RKC
1 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 1
RBK
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
INT
1 - 2
UDI
67%
19%
14%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
EMP
3 - 4
INT
23%
25%
53%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
COM
0 - 2
INT
16%
24%
60%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
INT
3 - 0
RBK
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
INT
2 - 0
BOL
64%
21%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |