Champions League 1/16
Global 16-2
Ajax vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.2%
Win probability
4.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.3%
8-0
2.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.8%
7-0
4.2%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
5.4%
6-0
7%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
9.4%
5-0
10%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
14%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4%
1.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
FEY
4 - 0
AJA
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
AJA
3 - 2
UTR
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
HJK
1 - 8
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
AJA
1 - 1
HFC
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
HJK
1 - 8
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
HJK
1 - 2
HER
33%
25%
43%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
HER
4 - 1
HJK
81%
13%
7%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
ATV
1 - 0
HJK
84%
9%
6%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
HJK
0 - 3
ATV
36%
22%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |