Ajax vs Heracles analysis


82	ELO	70
5.5%	Tilt	17.1%
83º	General ELO ranking	665º
5º	Country ELO ranking	16º
ELO win probability

78.5%

Ajax

12.4%

Draw

9.1%

Heracles

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

78.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%

12.4%

Draw

0-0

1.5%

1-1

4.9%

2-2

4.1%

3-3

1.5%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

12.4%

9.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-3%

-14%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches