Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 0
S04
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 5
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 1
AZA
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
52%
24%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
13%
23%
64%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
4 - 2
SCH
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
SCH
3 - 0
SPA
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
HER
4 - 1
SCH
30%
25%
46%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 2
FEY
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 1
SCH
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |