Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
UTR
0 - 2
AJA
24%
24%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 4
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 2
BYM
32%
23%
45%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
RKC
1 - 2
AJA
17%
23%
61%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 1
BOS
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
NEC
3 - 2
SCH
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 0
KSK
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 0
GRO
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
WIL
2 - 2
SCH
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |