Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
TWE
1 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
AJA
7 - 1
GRA
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
AJA
6 - 1
RKC
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
AZA
1 - 3
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
SCH
6 - 0
RBC
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 1
SCH
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
SCH
2 - 1
GRO
68%
19%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 5
SCH
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
SCH
2 - 2
VIT
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |