Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1997 |
GRO
1 - 1
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
SPA
2 - 1
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
JUV
4 - 1
AJA
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1997 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
88%
10%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
PSV
2 - 0
AJA
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
GRA
2 - 1
SCH
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
SCH
2 - 0
RKC
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
UTR
2 - 2
SCH
26%
25%
50%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
SCH
3 - 1
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
SPA
0 - 3
SCH
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |