Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
GAE
0 - 3
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
AJA
6 - 0
TWE
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
VOL
1 - 0
AJA
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
VVV
1 - 1
SCH
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
SCH
1 - 2
WIL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
SCH
0 - 3
RKC
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1994 |
GAE
2 - 3
SCH
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1994 |
SCH
2 - 0
GRO
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |