Ajax vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 1
AJA
21%
25%
53%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
AJA
2 - 1
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
AJA
2 - 1
NAC
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1979 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
AJA
8 - 1
TWE
62%
21%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
HFC
1 - 5
EXC
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 0
HFC
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
ADO
2 - 1
HFC
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1979 |
HFC
2 - 2
MVV
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
AZA
3 - 0
HFC
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |