Ajax vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1979 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
AJA
6 - 0
MVV
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
VVV
1 - 3
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
AJA
6 - 1
UTR
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
PSV
3 - 1
AJA
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
HFC
0 - 1
VOL
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
RJC
2 - 1
HFC
67%
20%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
HFC
1 - 1
FEY
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
VIT
2 - 2
HFC
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
HFC
0 - 0
GAE
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |