Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.8%
3.5%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
AJA
3 - 0
ORE
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
AJA
5 - 1
RKC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
AJA
3 - 0
MVV
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1991 |
VIT
0 - 0
AJA
23%
24%
54%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
AJA
3 - 0
VOL
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
GRA
0 - 1
SPA
35%
26%
40%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
TWE
3 - 0
GRA
74%
18%
8%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
GRA
2 - 0
FOR
39%
28%
34%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
UTR
2 - 0
GRA
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIL
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |