Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FEY
0 - 2
AJA
31%
23%
45%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 0
BAR
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 46 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 2
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 2
SCP
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
UTR
17%
21%
62%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 0
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 1
FOR
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FEY
5 - 0
FOR
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 1
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |