Ajax vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1961 |
AJA
2 - 1
UJP
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
NAC
1 - 3
AJA
27%
22%
51%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
AJA
1 - 3
FEY
53%
21%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
30%
21%
49%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
AJA
2 - 2
FCB
74%
14%
12%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
FOR
6 - 1
VOL
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
MVV
3 - 1
FOR
48%
22%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
FOR
0 - 3
GRO
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
DWS
2 - 1
FOR
48%
23%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
FOR
5 - 0
ENS
60%
20%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |