Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1987 |
AJA
1 - 0
LOK
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
UTR
2 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
60%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZAR
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
FOR
1 - 3
AJA
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1987 |
FEY
1 - 1
FOR
76%
16%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
BVV
1 - 1
FEY
16%
23%
62%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
FEY
1 - 1
GAE
87%
10%
4%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
FEY
1 - 1
PSV
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
EXC
1 - 6
FEY
10%
22%
68%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |