Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1966 |
TWE
0 - 2
AJA
31%
22%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
GRO
0 - 2
AJA
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
AJA
5 - 1
ADO
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 1
AJA
28%
23%
50%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1966 |
FEY
0 - 1
ELI
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
FEY
4 - 1
VVD
78%
14%
9%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
TWE
1 - 3
FEY
31%
22%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
FEY
6 - 1
WIL
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
GRO
2 - 1
FEY
28%
24%
47%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |