Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRO
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
AJA
0 - 0
VVD
73%
15%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
TEL
0 - 0
AJA
24%
21%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 0
SIT
80%
13%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
FEY
4 - 1
TEL
89%
8%
4%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
SIT
0 - 2
FEY
19%
20%
60%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
FEY
5 - 0
HER
85%
9%
5%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEY
25%
25%
51%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
FEY
3 - 1
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |