Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
MVV
1 - 4
AJA
41%
22%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
AJA
1 - 2
SHS
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
VVV
3 - 2
AJA
35%
23%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
52%
21%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
FEY
6 - 1
WIL
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
ELI
3 - 6
FEY
35%
22%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
FEY
6 - 0
FOR
49%
21%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 2
FEY
55%
20%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
FEY
0 - 0
DWS
71%
16%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |