Ajax vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1995 |
AJA
0 - 0
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
RMA
0 - 2
AJA
51%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
AJA
4 - 1
GRO
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1995 |
RKC
0 - 3
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
AJA
1 - 1
PSV
53%
21%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1995 |
FTC
3 - 1
BUD
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
FTC
3 - 3
GCZ
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
PEC
1 - 0
FTC
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1995 |
FTC
1 - 3
BUD
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
FTC
1 - 1
RMA
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |