Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
9º
1º
24
10º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 60 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
58% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
53.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
1% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 77% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TWE
2 - 2
AJA
37%
24%
39%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
AJA
5 - 0
MTA
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 2
PSV
40%
24%
36%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
FEY
0 - 2
AJA
39%
24%
38%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
WIL
62%
21%
18%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ZWO
3 - 1
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GAE
2 - 2
ZWO
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
NEC
4 - 3
ZWO
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PSV
6 - 0
ZWO
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |