Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
AJA
2 - 0
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
BVV
0 - 1
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
WIL
2 - 5
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
AJA
5 - 1
BOS
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
HFC
0 - 1
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1989 |
ZWO
6 - 2
BVV
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1989 |
WIL
4 - 1
ZWO
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
BOS
4 - 0
ZWO
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1988 |
ZWO
2 - 2
VVV
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
VOL
1 - 1
ZWO
64%
19%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |