Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1987 |
AJA
2 - 0
HSV
80%
13%
8%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 1
FEY
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
HSV
0 - 1
AJA
35%
25%
39%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
AJA
2 - 1
VOL
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1987 |
ZWO
1 - 0
ADO
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1987 |
UTR
2 - 2
ZWO
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1987 |
ZWO
1 - 2
TWE
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
PSV
5 - 1
ZWO
83%
11%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1987 |
ZWO
2 - 1
FCD
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |