Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
4.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.6%
6-0
6.1%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.4%
5-0
9%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.9%
1.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
FOR
0 - 2
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 2
AZA
82%
11%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
AJA
6 - 1
NAC
93%
5%
2%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1985 |
BOS
1 - 1
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
EXC
0 - 1
AJA
16%
22%
63%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1985 |
ZWO
3 - 4
RJC
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
FEY
6 - 0
ZWO
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
ZWO
0 - 2
UTR
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
GRO
1 - 0
ZWO
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
ZWO
1 - 0
GAE
47%
28%
26%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |