Ajax vs FC Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
MVV
2 - 4
AJA
26%
21%
53%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
AJA
4 - 2
GRO
73%
15%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
DWS
0 - 0
AJA
26%
21%
52%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
AJA
6 - 1
ENS
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
VVD
2 - 2
AJA
40%
21%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
VOL
2 - 4
FCB
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
VOL
2 - 3
MVV
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
GRO
1 - 3
VOL
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
VOL
0 - 0
DWS
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
ENS
2 - 3
VOL
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |