Ajax vs FC Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
RAP
2 - 2
AJA
32%
23%
46%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
AJA
8 - 1
FCB
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
VVV
1 - 2
AJA
36%
23%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
AJA
5 - 0
SPA
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
ENS
3 - 3
AJA
36%
23%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
VOL
0 - 4
FOR
38%
24%
39%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
ELI
3 - 2
VOL
56%
21%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
VOL
0 - 2
ADO
47%
23%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
FEY
6 - 1
VOL
79%
12%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
RAP
2 - 2
VOL
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |