Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
AZA
1 - 0
AJA
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 1
HFC
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TWE
2 - 2
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 4
PSV
55%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
32%
27%
42%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
HFC
1 - 0
UTR
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
UTR
0 - 0
TWE
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
PSV
1 - 0
UTR
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
UTR
2 - 2
SPA
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
ADO
1 - 1
UTR
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |