Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
AJA
8 - 0
GLE
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRA
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
PSV
6 - 2
AJA
55%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
GLE
1 - 6
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
UTR
2 - 4
TEL
47%
26%
26%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
UTR
2 - 2
EIN
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
MVV
3 - 1
UTR
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
UTR
0 - 3
NEC
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |