Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
NEC
0 - 4
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
AJA
3 - 3
PSV
64%
19%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
AJA
2 - 1
EXC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
TWE
1 - 1
GAE
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
FOR
3 - 0
TWE
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1983 |
TWE
0 - 0
UTR
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
TWE
3 - 0
HEL
79%
15%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
FEY
2 - 0
TWE
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |