Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.9%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
AJA
9 - 1
NEC
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
SPA
1 - 0
AJA
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
AJA
5 - 0
XER
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1967 |
DWS
1 - 4
AJA
26%
25%
50%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
PSV
1 - 2
AJA
28%
24%
47%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
GAE
0 - 0
TWE
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
TWE
0 - 3
ADO
34%
22%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
FOR
4 - 2
TWE
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
TWE
3 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
TWE
1 - 0
NEC
51%
24%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |