Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
14.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
WIL
1 - 4
AJA
34%
24%
43%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
AJA
5 - 1
GRO
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
ADO
2 - 3
AJA
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
AJA
5 - 1
FOR
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
DWS
0 - 2
AJA
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
TWE
3 - 1
ELI
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
VVD
3 - 0
TWE
40%
22%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
TWE
6 - 1
WIL
68%
16%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
GRO
0 - 2
TWE
40%
22%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
TWE
0 - 0
ADO
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |