UEFA Super Cup Final
Global 0-2
Ajax vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
AJA
6 - 4
ZWO
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1987 |
AJA
2 - 0
HSV
80%
13%
8%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 1
FEY
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
HSV
0 - 1
AJA
35%
25%
39%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
OEL
2 - 3
FCP
12%
21%
68%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
FCP
1 - 2
RMA
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
MAR
0 - 2
FCP
19%
28%
53%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
RMA
2 - 1
FCP
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |