Champions League 1/16
Global 5-1
Ajax vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1968 |
VVD
1 - 1
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
AJA
2 - 1
NEC
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
FCN
1 - 1
AJA
46%
23%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
AJA
2 - 0
FOR
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 1
AJA
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
S04
4 - 1
FCN
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
FCN
0 - 0
HSV
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
FCN
1 - 1
AJA
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
MUN
2 - 0
FCN
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
FCN
1 - 0
KAI
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |