Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 4
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
NAC
2 - 5
AJA
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
ADO
1 - 2
AJA
32%
28%
41%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
78%
14%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
GRO
1 - 0
BOS
63%
22%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1972 |
GRO
0 - 1
TWE
29%
31%
41%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
VOL
0 - 2
GRO
51%
28%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
GRO
1 - 1
TEL
48%
28%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
UTR
2 - 2
GRO
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |