Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
DWS
0 - 3
AJA
24%
22%
55%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
FOR
2 - 1
AJA
27%
21%
52%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
AJA
6 - 3
FOR
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
PSV
5 - 2
AJA
53%
20%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
VVD
2 - 1
GRO
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
GRO
3 - 0
FEY
29%
25%
47%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
GRO
6 - 1
DVO
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
FCB
2 - 1
GRO
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |