Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
DWS
0 - 0
AJA
26%
21%
52%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
AJA
6 - 1
ENS
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
VVD
2 - 2
AJA
40%
21%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
MVV
1 - 5
AJA
26%
21%
53%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
AJA
3 - 0
TSV
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
GRO
1 - 3
VOL
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
MVV
0 - 0
GRO
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
GRO
2 - 2
FCB
58%
20%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
GRO
1 - 2
ENS
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
FOR
3 - 0
GRO
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |