Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
NAC
2 - 1
AJA
36%
23%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
AJA
3 - 1
BOS
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
DWS
0 - 2
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1958 |
AJA
2 - 0
FOR
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
FEY
2 - 3
AJA
53%
20%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
GRO
7 - 1
PSV
31%
22%
47%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
ENS
3 - 2
GRO
77%
14%
10%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
GRO
0 - 0
MVV
47%
22%
31%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1958 |
ADO
1 - 1
GRO
70%
17%
14%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
GRO
1 - 0
FCB
68%
17%
15%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |