Ajax vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.7%
2.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
TWE
0 - 1
AJA
37%
28%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
UTR
0 - 1
AJA
28%
22%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
AJA
9 - 2
TEL
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
NAC
2 - 0
AJA
15%
25%
60%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1972 |
AJA
3 - 0
IND
83%
10%
7%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
BOS
0 - 1
TEL
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
NAC
4 - 0
BOS
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
BOS
1 - 1
GRO
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
FEY
4 - 0
BOS
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
BOS
0 - 1
NEC
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |