Ajax vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
DWS
0 - 2
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1958 |
AJA
2 - 0
FOR
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
FEY
2 - 3
AJA
53%
20%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
VVV
1 - 1
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
AJA
1 - 0
TSV
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
BOS
1 - 5
PSV
27%
21%
52%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
BOS
1 - 2
FCB
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1958 |
ENS
4 - 0
BOS
78%
13%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
BOS
2 - 3
MVV
49%
21%
30%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
GRO
1 - 2
BOS
66%
17%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |