Ajax vs SC Enschede analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
FOR
2 - 0
AJA
38%
24%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRO
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
AJA
0 - 0
VVD
73%
15%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SC Enschede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
ENS
1 - 3
TEL
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1965 |
SIT
2 - 1
ENS
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
ENS
1 - 0
HER
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENS
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
ENS
1 - 1
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |