Ajax vs SC Enschede analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
VVD
2 - 2
AJA
40%
21%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
MVV
1 - 5
AJA
26%
21%
53%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
AJA
3 - 0
TSV
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1961 |
VVD
2 - 0
AJA
37%
21%
42%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1961 |
AJA
2 - 2
DWS
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SC Enschede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
ENS
2 - 3
VOL
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
GRO
1 - 2
ENS
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
ENS
2 - 5
SPA
49%
22%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1961 |
ADO
3 - 2
ENS
54%
21%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1961 |
ENS
2 - 2
AZA
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |