Ajax vs SC Enschede analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
FOR
2 - 3
AJA
36%
22%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ELI
3 - 3
AJA
20%
20%
60%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
NAC
1 - 3
AJA
35%
22%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1960 |
AJA
0 - 0
FFK
44%
22%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Enschede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
ENS
2 - 4
PSV
50%
22%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
FEY
4 - 0
ENS
74%
14%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ENS
0 - 1
VVV
64%
19%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
RAP
1 - 2
ENS
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
ENS
1 - 0
MVV
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |