Ajax vs SC Enschede analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
MVV
3 - 0
AJA
33%
23%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
ADO
3 - 1
AJA
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 0
FCB
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
SPA
4 - 4
AJA
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 0
VVD
62%
19%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Enschede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
PSV
1 - 1
ENS
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
ENS
2 - 0
MVV
66%
18%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
RAP
3 - 4
ENS
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
ADO
2 - 4
ENS
52%
21%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ENS
3 - 2
FCB
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |