Ajax vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
KOZ
1 - 6
AJA
11%
20%
70%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 2
AJA
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 3
CEL
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
4 - 1
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 2
AJA
56%
23%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
5 - 0
CEL
41%
27%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
RCF
0 - 3
CEL
13%
24%
63%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | +1 |