Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 7-0
Ajax vs Bursaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.5%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
BVV
0 - 1
AJA
7%
14%
79%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
54%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
AJA
3 - 2
GAE
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
BUR
0 - 2
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
AJA
0 - 0
GRO
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bursaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
TRA
3 - 0
BUR
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
BUR
2 - 0
ESK
58%
23%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
BUR
0 - 2
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
ANT
2 - 1
BUR
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
BUR
0 - 1
KOC
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |