Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-6
Ajax vs Budapesti Vasas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
AJA
1 - 1
RAP
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
PSV
0 - 5
AJA
54%
20%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
AJA
0 - 0
ENS
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
MVV
3 - 0
AJA
33%
23%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
ADO
3 - 1
AJA
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Budapesti Vasas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1957 |
VAS
2 - 1
YOB
54%
21%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1957 |
YOB
1 - 1
VAS
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1957 |
VAS
6 - 1
CSK
51%
22%
27%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
CSK
2 - 1
VAS
70%
16%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |