Europa League 1/16
Global 1-1
Ajax vs Bohemians 1905 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.7%
Win probability
4.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.2%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.6%
8-0
2.4%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.3%
7-0
4.3%
8-1
1.6%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.2%
6-0
6.7%
7-1
2.8%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.1%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
4.4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
14.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.8%
4%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
4%
1.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
AJA
4 - 3
HFC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
AJA
7 - 2
GAE
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
AJA
14 - 0
RBD
99%
1%
0%
|
88 | 13 | 75 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1984 |
NAC
1 - 2
AJA
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1984 |
RBD
0 - 0
AJA
1%
6%
93%
|
88 | 12 | 76 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemians 1905
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
APO
2 - 2
BOH
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
BOH
6 - 1
APO
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
RAP
1 - 0
BOH
78%
12%
9%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
BOH
2 - 1
RAP
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
BOH
4 - 0
FEN
16%
35%
49%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |