Ajax vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
45.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
RKC
1 - 2
AJA
17%
23%
61%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
AJA
4 - 1
RBC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
AJA
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 5
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
49%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
FCN
2 - 2
BYM
15%
23%
62%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BYM
4 - 2
M05
76%
15%
8%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
BYM
5 - 1
MTA
74%
18%
9%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BYM
3 - 1
KAI
71%
17%
12%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
RTV
1 - 3
BYM
22%
25%
54%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |