Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Ajax vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
61%
19%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
NEC
0 - 4
AJA
18%
27%
54%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
GAE
0 - 1
AJA
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 2
GLA
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
ROT
1 - 2
BYM
23%
23%
55%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1973 |
S04
1 - 1
BYM
24%
25%
51%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
BYM
4 - 1
WUP
90%
7%
3%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1973 |
HER
2 - 5
BYM
22%
25%
53%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1973 |
BYM
3 - 0
EBT
90%
7%
3%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |