Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZAR
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
FOR
1 - 3
AJA
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
AJA
4 - 0
BVV
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
ZAR
2 - 3
AJA
36%
27%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
GAE
1 - 1
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
AZA
0 - 0
FOR
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
BVV
3 - 1
AZA
32%
26%
43%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
AZA
1 - 0
GAE
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
SPA
1 - 1
AZA
66%
19%
16%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
EXC
2 - 3
AZA
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |